Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 234.776520 264.558924 297.580202 337.070445 383.224285 435.715317 500.294236
2025-02-23 185.905276 223.951742 269.808676 329.775752 407.053352 504.572532 639.028929
2025-03-02 165.004776 207.648583 261.973687 337.483079 441.707956 583.549637 796.660330
2025-03-09 147.380652 191.829351 250.952837 337.220308 463.138807 645.643630 940.851313
2025-03-16 131.837426 176.304803 237.556696 330.571647 472.845854 690.466783 1066.018709
2025-03-23 121.498819 166.502458 230.497223 331.329178 492.486443 752.014184 1229.178173
2025-03-30 110.961010 155.179336 219.750469 324.714201 498.917214 792.341249 1363.178559
2025-04-06 103.350265 147.329062 213.189414 323.500521 513.405911 847.777579 1536.370137
2025-04-13 93.748290 135.601516 199.497970 309.020457 503.036308 856.846981 1619.695013
2025-04-20 90.970501 134.083538 201.571096 320.807014 540.195875 959.628794 1922.772508
2025-04-27 88.790826 133.262699 204.583519 334.382491 582.357313 1079.552551 2297.889859
2025-05-04 84.462804 128.603337 200.773986 335.294472 600.291108 1152.969526 2583.757730
2025-05-11 78.878491 121.607246 192.654542 327.885969 601.621735 1193.086174 2803.224326
2025-05-18 74.031747 115.522680 185.650170 321.902156 605.221894 1239.481823 3056.977580
2025-05-25 71.719085 113.545474 185.645232 329.263765 637.905914 1359.954236 3568.035369
2025-06-01 68.487603 109.736158 182.012689 329.021703 653.891321 1443.195046 3998.745988
2025-06-08 64.679066 104.655334 175.650482 322.569918 654.893296 1488.517266 4323.507861
2025-06-15 62.138715 101.659637 172.918388 323.305052 672.668394 1582.092129 4859.682063
2025-06-22 58.897171 97.195717 167.081542 316.886519 672.412389 1626.051282 5231.627887
2025-06-29 56.534651 94.193987 163.829295 315.708787 684.901254 1709.466807 5803.605170
2025-07-06 52.850015 88.548700 155.072610 301.655189 663.069089 1686.668222 5916.823428
2025-07-13 52.270688 88.658964 157.635053 313.094945 708.736014 1881.921272 7120.215666
2025-07-20 51.866675 89.066602 160.808000 326.267366 761.330447 2114.948697 8684.028395